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Storm Fay to drive $400mn insured loss: KCC

14th July 2020 - Author: Matt Sheehan

Catastrophe risk modeller Karen Clark & Company (KCC) has estimated that Tropical Storm Fay will drive an insured loss of close to $400 million.

Storm Fay approaching the US coast on July 9th. Source: RAMMB

The storm made landfall near Atlantic City, New Jersey on Friday evening and caused light wind damage and low levels of storm surge from South Carolina to New York.

Notably, Fay is the earliest ‘F’ named storm in the historical record, forming twelve days earlier than 2005’s Franklin.

It is also the first tropical storm to come ashore in New Jersey since Irene in 2011, given that Sandy was a post-tropical storm.

KCC’s loss estimate includes the privately insured wind and storm surge damage to residential, commercial, and industrial properties and automobiles.

However, it does not include National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) losses.

Fay formed on July 9th off the coast of North Carolina with maximum sustained winds of 45 mph.

Over the next 24 hours, the storm travelled north off the coast of the US, and the maximum sustained winds increased to 60 mph as it approached the New Jersey shore.

After landfalling just north of Atlantic City at 5pm on July 10th, Fay continued north through New York.

Once overland, it quickly weakened and was downgraded to a tropical depression, transitioning to a post-tropical low by the early hours of July 11th.

Fay brought damaging winds to parts of Maryland, Delaware, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, and New York, with scattered power outages across some areas.

Although light wind damage is most likely from this storm, KCC noted that structural damage is possible from trees falling on buildings.

In New York City alone, hundreds of downed trees were reported, and other areas, including New Jersey and Pennsylvania, also experienced tree damage that resulted in infrastructure disruption.

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